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Using AI to Predict Justices' Votes

September 11, 2025 • jed
It is notoriously difficult to predict Supreme Court votes. The leading algorithmic approaches produce vote-level predictions with about 70 percent accuracy. Wisdom of human crowds tends to be higher—about 80...

Welcome and thanks for visiting!

September 9, 2025 • jed
Thanks for visiting! A little about me -- I am a professor at Cornell, where I teach and research in public law and quantitative methods. Most of my recent work...